OUSTED President Joseph Estrada overtook Senator Manuel Villar Jr. for second place in the presidential race, while frontrunner Benigno Aquino III maintained his lead, the latest Manila Standard survey showed.

Conducted between April 25 and 27, the survey asked 2,500 registered voters who intend to vote in the May 10 elections to cast their votes for president, vice president and senators on a form similar to the official ballot that will be used on May 10.

The poll, with a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percent, showed Aquino ahead nationwide with 38 percent, followed by Estrada with 22 percent and Villar with 20 percent.  The margin of error meant Estrada and Villar can be considered in a statistical tie.

Administration bet Gilberto Teodoro Jr. maintained his 9-percent showing, while evangelist Eddie Villanueva edged up to 3 percent.  Senator Richard Gordon had 2 percent, while other candidates had less than 1 percent.

Manila Standard resident pollster Pedro Laylo Jr. said the latest poll showed that the spate of negative news about Villar had hurt the Nacionalista standard bearer, costing him support from the poor voters that he had won from Estrada.

In Metro Manila, Aquino’s support slipped one point to 37 percent from the previous week’s, while Estrada gained two points at 26 percent. Villar maintained his 13-percent share of the vote.

Aquino posted a three-point gain in North and Central Luzon, and largely at the expense of Estrada who lost three points to 18 percent. Villar maintained his 25-percent share in the region.

In last week’s survey, Estrada also picked up points in Southern Luzon and the Bicol region, the Visayas and Mindanao, mostly at Villar’s expense.

Estrada moved ahead after he attacked Villar in a press conference, accusing him of pressuring Stock Exchange officials to approve the listing of his real estate company, Vista Land and Lifescapes Inc.  Despite the attack, the ousted leader still slid 5 points in his ratings from the high-income voters, and merely maintained his 20-percent support from the poor.  But among the very poor, Estrada gained nine points, while Villar lost five points and Aquino lost two.

Tables MST Poll 04_25-27_2010 1st article 043010

  1. Florence Bautista
    May 6, 2010 at 4:28 pm

    How about this – OPINION – Manila Standard

    The truth is, I do not believe that Noynoy has the election in the bag. That is what the Aquino propagandists, from the candidate himself on down, want us to believe-whether we choose to drink this Yellow Kool-Aid proffered to us is really our call.
    I happen to think that, despite the all-pervasive propaganda in all sorts of media, it’s too early to tell. And that if you believe that Noynoy is already the next president simply because a lot of people seem to think so, you have abdicated your right to form your own opinion and have ceded it to those who are only too willing to do your own thinking for you.
    What, after all, are the grounds for assuming an Aquino victory on Monday? Apart from the surveys-which have been in error before-there are really only the insistent attempts from the Noynoy camp to condition our minds to accept his win as a fait accompli.

    By the way, THIS IS THE TRUTH – MANILA, Philippines – Relatives and close associates of Liberal Party (LP) presidential candidate Sen. Benigno “Noynoy” Aquino are directing behind the scenes the surveys being conducted by the Social Weather Stations (SWS) and Pulse Asia, according to Pwersa ng Masang Pilipino (PMP) senatorial candidate Francisco “Kit” Tatad.
    Tatad, citing a research paper and documents from the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), said members of the Aquino clan and former associates of the late President Corazon Aquino are directors and stockholders of SWS and Pulse Asia.
    Among those named in the SEC documents and research papers were Rafael Cojuangco Lopa and Antonio “Tonyboy” Cojuangco.
    Lopa, according to Tatad, was director and president of Pulse Asia until last year when he resigned to camouflage the firm’s support for Aquino’s bid for the presidency, while Cojuangco bankrolled the setting up of Pulse Asia in 1990.
    Tatad said it is unusual that former Public Works secretary Jose de Jesus (under the Aquino administration) is an incorporator and director in both Pulse Asia and the SWS.
    “This suggests that there was a plan from the beginning by the Aquinos to control public opinion polling in the country,” he said. SO DAPAT PA BA TAYONG MANIWALA SA SURVEY?? HINDI LAHAT NG NAKADILAW AY NAGSASABI NG TOTOO … SINUNGALING DIN PALA SILA *****

  1. May 8, 2010 at 3:38 pm
  2. May 7, 2010 at 11:02 pm
  3. May 3, 2010 at 6:54 pm

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